In 2013 I flirted with the idea of launching a ‘Unite the Right’ campaign in which I urged supporters of UKIP and the Conservatives to vote tactically for whichever candidate had the best chance of winning in their constituency. Not a formal pact with the blessing of either party’s high command, but a bottom-up initiative. I was worried that the right-of-centre vote would be so divided in the 2015 General Election that Ed Miliband might end up as Prime Minister.
But David Cameron’s decision to commit to a referendum convinced me a pact of any kind was unnecessary. And so it proved to be, with Cameron winning the first Tory majority in 23 years.
My gut tells me the outcome of this election will be the same. The latest Ipsos-Mori poll had the Conservatives on 41 per cent, Labour on 24 per cent, the Lib Dems on 20 per cent and the Brexit Party on seven per cent, which, on a uniform national swing, gives the Tories a majority of over 200. No doubt the gap between the two major parties will narrow between now and December 12th, but will it shrink by enough to make a similar ‘Unite the Right’ initiative worthwhile? (To read more, click here.)