I'm a little nervous about the opinion poll lead that's opened up for the Conservatives. This morning's ICM poll in the Guardian puts the Tories on 40% and Labour on 35%. That echoes the Sunday Times/YouGov poll that had the Conservatives on 41% and Labour on 36%. Admittedly, the latest YouGov daily tracker in this morning's Sun gives Labour a one-point lead, but UKPollingReport's rolling average for the last 20 days has the Tories on 39% and Labour on 38%. Whichever way you cut it, the Conservatives are out in front. (To read more, click here.)
